[Updated for the Jul’21 CFA exams]
CFA pass rates are a factor in most candidates’ consideration on whether to sign up for the CFA exams. If pass rates are too high, it lacks prestigiousness. If it is too low, it is too difficult and may not be worth the effort.
Often branded the ‘world’s hardest exams’, we often get questions from our readers on exactly how difficult the CFA exams could be. The short answer? It’s hard, but not the hardest?
In this article, we try to approach this question objectively, with historical CFA pass rates and third party benchmarking studies in order to help you decide whether CFA exams are worth the challenge.
Overview of CFA Pass Rates Since 2010
The latest CFA pass rates are:
- 22% for Level 1 (Jul21)
- 40% for Level 2 (May21)
- 42% for Level 3 (May21)
As one would expect, the average pass rates increases as one progresses throughout the 3 levels. Since 2010, the historical CFA pass rates for:
- Level 1 ranges from 22%-49%, with a 11-year average of 40%;
- Level 2 ranges from 39%-55%, with a 11-year average of 45%;
- Level 3 ranges from 46%-56%, with a 11-year average of 53%.
Interestingly, Dec20 pass rates showed a big jump for Level 1 and Level 2 candidates who probably had significantly more time to study due to the pandemic exam postponements. Yet it remained stable for Level 3 candidates despite experiencing the additional time to prepare.
Level 1 Feb21’s pass rates are showing a reversion to the long term average of 42%, but this has been completely upended by May’21, which had a record-low pass rate of 25%. The pass rate further deteriorated in Jul’21, reaching a new low of 22%.
CFA Level 1 Pass Rates vs. Candidate Volume
CFA exam’s popularity is evident in this chart, with Level 1 candidate growth accelerating steadily since 2015. This has taken a hit since the pandemic, with annual candidate volumes about 60% of previous years.
CFA Level 1 pass rates have remained relatively stable and above 40% since 2014 for paper-based exams. The recent Dec20 exam’s jump in Level 1 pass rate to 49% is most likely due to the additional time candidates have due to multiple COVID-19 exam postponements.
Unfortunately not many candidates were able to sit for the exam even in Dec20 due to the ongoing pandemic situation, and this is reflected in Feb21’s data as well.
However, in May’21, CFA Level 1 has experienced a monster drop in pass rates – since 2010, the historical CFA pass rates for Level 1 had been about 36%-49%, averaging 42%. This has dropped to 25% in the May’21 exams, and further dropped in Jul’21 to 22%
CFA Institute’s official guidance states that the minimum passing score reflects the score that can be achieved by a ‘just competent’ candidate, which is supposed to be consistent across the years, whether it’s 2010, 2015 or 2020. If we assume this holds true, this implies the average CFA Level 1 candidate quality for May’21 and Jul’21 was significantly lower compared to past exams.
CFA Institute has implied that this low pass rate is temporary, and due to pandemic disruption:
Going forward, we do expect the pass rate to approach pre-COVID historical levels in time — so long as pandemic conditions subside. As we have said before, the exams and the process for setting the minimum passing score have not changed. Unfortunately, the many challenges posed by life during a pandemic have clearly made the process more daunting.Peg Jobst, Managing Director, Head of Credentialing, CFA Institute
A low passing score due to pandemic disruption does not explain why our MPS estimates have been increasing – that is, of course, assuming our MPS estimates are accurately reflecting what’s really going on!
CFA Level 2 Pass Rates vs. Candidate Volume
The story for CFA Level 2 pass rates and candidate volume is similar to Level 1:
- Level 2 pass rates were relatively stable and above 40% since 2011, with a significant jump to 55% pass rates for Dec20 Level 2 candidates.
- Level 2 candidate growth has been accelerating since 2015 as well, but this has dropped to lower levels since the pandemic and CBT format change.
- Excluding the Dec’20 ‘pandemic exam’, pass rates have been on a steady/downward trend since 2017. The CBT transition has not affected Level 2’s pass rates and MPS as much as it has Level 1.
CFA Level 3 Pass Rates vs. Candidate Volume
CFA Level 3 is a little different from other levels, whereby the pass rates are very stable and consistently higher than the rest. This can be explained by natural selection: Level 3 candidates by definition are highly skilled and knowledgable at this point, having passed Level 1 and Level 2.
Similarly to Level 1 and Level 2, CFA Level 3’s pass rate experienced a big drop during the May21 exam cycle, although unlike Levels 1 and 2, the May21 Level 3 MPS estimate has also decreased. The implication here is that the Level 3 May21 exam has become more difficult compared to previous exam cycles – we’ll see if the pattern continues in subsequent exams.
How Hard Is CFA?
OK we have seen all the historical trends in CFA pass rates, but that still doesn’t really tell us how difficult these exams are?
Perhaps a more objective way to assess CFA exam’s difficulty lies in the UK NARIC’s (National Academic Recognition Information Centre of the United Kingdom) benchmarks.
According to UK NARIC, the CFA exams have been benchmarked individually by Level under UK Regulated Qualifications Framework (RQF):
- CFA Level 1‘s difficulty is comparable to a Diploma of higher education (Level 5 qualification under RQF);
- CFA Level 2‘s difficulty is comparable to a Bachelor’s degree (Level 6 qualification under RQF);
- CFA Level 3‘s difficulty is comparable to a Master’s degree (Level 7 qualification under RQF).
Considering that RQF Level 8 implies a difficulty equivalent to PhD programs, passing all 3 levels of the CFA exams is certainly not easy!
Hope you found the statistics above useful!
Meanwhile, here are some related articles that may be of interest: