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The correct answer is A.
As provided in the following table, the Safety-First ratio of Portfolio A is the highest so it has the lowest probability of the portfolio returns falling below the investor’s threshold level of 7%.
|
Portfolio A |
Portfolio B |
Portfolio C |
Expected Return |
19% |
23% |
36% |
Standard Deviation |
14% |
26% |
39% |
Safety First ratio |
(0.19-0.07)/0.14 = 0.8571; |
(0.23-0.07)/0.26 = 0.6153; |
(0.36-0.07)/0.39 = 0.7435 |