- This topic has 4 replies, 3 voices, and was last updated Apr-174:39 pm by adossa3.
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Up::34
Hi there,
very Confused about negative and positive duration positions where they show up in 1) Risk Mgt of swap strategies and in 2) MBS…:-(
Negative duration: does it mean to ‘reduce duration’ ? – or hold a position that moves directly with interest rates – eg wanting to add a negative duration position like a pay-fixed swap, receive floating to the fixed income portfolio: pay fixed side -0.75 and receive floating side + 0.125, = -0.625
does this mean simply that a fixed rate borrower gains (+) when int rates rise (+) ?Positive duration: does it mean to ‘increase duration’ ? – or hold a position that moves inversely to int rates – eg wanting to add a positive duration position like a pay-floating -0.125 and receive-fixed +0.75, swap, to the fixed income portfolio = +0.625
Does this simply mean that a floating rate borrower gains (+) when int rates fall, (neg) ?In MBSs: Principal Only notes have a positive duration and Interest-Only notes have a negative duration.
I thought that POs dur incr, as when int rates rise, prepayments slower, and POs life/duration gets longer, bad, so their price falls, as underlying mortgage pool duration longer: does ‘positive’ mean a longer life of the PO ?
IOs have negative duration as when int rates fall, faster prepymts terminate the underlying interest-only pool, and the value of the IO falls – what is the negative position, the shorter life of the IO ?
Head is swimming…………..feel faint 😉 !!
Thanks v much for all the moral and mental support !
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Up::6
Thanks very much Zee! Awesome, was so confused. 🙂
want to learn formulas over the next week and go over the stuff am finding hard. Extr tired today and progress is v slow….Thank you, thank you thank you Zee and Sophie for the moral support also ! -
Up::5
Hi @adossa3 – positive duration definitely means a position or valuation that moves inversely to interest rates, and negative duration meaning moving directly with interest rates.
For principal-only and interest-only MBS, here’s the conceptual reasoning:
- Declining interest rates increase PO repayment speed, lowering the discount rate and increasing the PO price. Hence +ve duration.
- Declining interest rates mean that repayments speed up, so there’s less interest paid (lower principal, plus lower interest rates), so IO value decreases. Hence -ve duration.
Hope that helps!
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