- This topic has 4 replies, 3 voices, and was last updated Apr-212:46 pm by
Zee Tan.
-
AuthorPosts
-
-
Up::2
An option’s premium is made up of:
- Intrinsic value: how much it’s worth if the option holder exercises their option right now
- For call options: Price of underlying asset – Strike price
- For put options: Strike price – Price of underlying asset
- Time value: additional value investors are willing to pay due to the potential upside it has left – because the option could further increase in value before expiration.
Option Premium = Intrinsic Value + Time Value
You’re on the right track. If the premium = $3.18, strike = $30, underlying = $26.82 then the put option should be at expiry since it implies time value is 0.
A negative earnings surprise would lower the price of underlying (drives intrinsic value up) as well as increase volatility (drives time value up), so would increase option premium.
Looking at options A and B, it sounds like the kind of question that asks for the “most likely” answer, and means it.
-
Up::1
Thanks both!
So would a negative earnings surprise still increase the option premium of a call if the IV goes down in value, but the theta increases? i.e. Theta increase has a bigger overall impact?
-
Up::0
In the case of a call option, it would depend on whether the decrease in asset price (↓ intrinsic value) is a bigger factor than the increased time/volatility premium.
I.e. either scenario is theoretically possible, but I find it hard to imagine a negative earnings surprise increasing a call option’s value.
-
- Intrinsic value: how much it’s worth if the option holder exercises their option right now
-
Up::1
Just jumping in on the theta part of your question – theta is the rate of change in the value of an option as time passes, i.e. the time decay of an option.
Whether theta is negative or positive depends on how time (t) is defined:
- e.g. If t = 1,2,3… theta is usually negative (value declines as t increases)
- e.g. If t = 30,29,28… theta is usually positive (value declines as t declines)
Check out this explanation on theta by @sophie here: https://300hours.com/f/cfa/level-2/t/option-theta-is-it-always-negative/
-
-
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.