Note: this cheat sheet is updated for the latest 2023’s curriculum.
Regardless whether you’ve a background in finance or economics, Economics is a central topic across all 3 levels of the CFA exams that requires some focus to master, especially the exchange rate section!
Building a strong foundation in CFA Level 1 Economics is essential in increasing your chances of passing CFA Level 2 and 3, as it permeates throughout other topics as well. That’s why we decided to create our Cheat Sheet series of articles, which focuses on one specific topic area for one specific CFA Level.☕
More Cheat Sheets will be published and continuously updated, sign up to our member’s list to be notified first.
By referring to the CFA curriculum’s Learning Outcome Statements (LOS), we prioritize and highlight the absolute key concepts and formula you need to know for each topic. With some tips at the end too!
Use the Cheat Sheets during your practice sessions to refresh your memory on important concepts.
Let’s dive in – this is a long article. Do breakdown your reading in chunks and come back to it often! 🙂
Economics is a central topic in finance, with a similar topic weight across all 3 levels of the CFA exams.
However, the importance of Economics is not just restricted to the CFA exams. The topics covered, such as demand and supply analyses, FX, global trade and international economic policy, will underpin your comprehension of how the economic world works.
2023 CFA Level 1 Economics’ topic weighting is 8-12%, which means 14-22 questions of the 180 questions of CFA Level 1 exam is centered around this topic.
It is covered in Topic 2 with 8 Learning Modules (LMs).
The Economics topic area can be approximately split into two sub-types:
CFA Level 1 Economics covers a lot of concepts that you may have repeatedly heard of, but may not fully understand yet, especially if you’re new to any kind of financial education.
Here’s a summary of the CFA Level 1 Economics chapter readings:
Learning Modules | Sub-topic | Description |
---|---|---|
1 | Topics in Demand and Supply Analysis | This reading focuses on microeconomics and covers how the demand and supply changes for a product or service influence each other. |
2 | The Firm and Market Structures | How companies interact and compete with each other in different market conditions: perfect competition, monopolistic competition, oligopoly, and pure monopoly. |
3 | Aggregate Output, Prices and Economic Growth | An introduction to macroeconomics concepts like gross domestic product (GDP), aggregate demand, aggregate supply and sources to economic growth. |
4 | Understanding Business Cycles | Walks through the theory of business cycles, unemployment and discusses the differences between inflation, deflation, hyperinflation and disinflation. |
5 | Monetary and Fiscal Policy | Explains the various tools governments and central banks use, in an attempt to guide, control and optimize their own country’s economy through economic policy. |
6 | Introduction to Geopolitics | Explains what geopolitics is, how it relates to globalization and how it impacts investments. |
7 | International Trade and Capital Flows | An introduction to international trade and capital flows, pros and cons of international trade and balance of payments. |
8 | Currency Exchange Rates | Focuses on the details of how exchange rates are quoted and calculated. Also walks through the effect of exchange rates on international trade and capital flows. |
If biology is the study of how living things work, and physics is the study of how the physical world works, then economics is the study of how the world of business, goods and services work.
Understanding basic economics is key to a successful career in any field, business ventures and even your personal life given how it permeates through our everyday life.
\small E_{P_x}^d=\frac{\%\triangle Q_x^d}{\%\triangle P_x} \\ \\ \small where \space Q_x^d \space is \space quantity \space demanded \space of \space good \space X, \\P_x \space is \space price \space per \space unit \space of \space good\space X
Note that own price elasticity of demand (PED) is usually negative:
E_i^d=\frac{\%\triangle Q_x^d}{\%\triangle I}, where \space I \space is \space income
Note that income elasticity of demand is positive for normal good, negative for inferior good.
E_{P_y}^d=\frac{\%\triangle Q_x^d}{\%\triangle P_y}, where \space P_y \space is \space price \space per \space unit \space of \space another \space good \space Y
Note that cross-price elasticity of demand is positive for substitutes, negative for complements.
When price of good X decreases:
Substitution effect | Income effect | Consumption of good X | Good X is a |
---|---|---|---|
Positive | Positive | Increases | Normal good |
Positive | Negative (but smaller than substitution effect) | Increases | Inferior good |
Positive | Negative (and larger than substitution effect) | Decreases | Giffen good |
Veblen good on the other hand is a ‘status’ good, where demand increases when price increases. Both Veblen good and Giffen good have upward sloping demand curves, but for different reasons.
Profit maximization occurs when the difference betweeen Total Revenue (TR) and Total Cost (TC) is the greatest. The level of output where this occurs is when:
Breakeven occurs when:
At this breakeven level, economic profit is zero, although it may still earn a positive accounting profit (normal profit).
Production shutdown analysis in the short run & long run (TVC = total variable cost):
Revenue/cost relationship | Short run decision | Long run decision |
---|---|---|
TR = TC | Continue operating | Continue operating |
TC > TR > TVC | Continue operating | Exit market |
TR < TVC | Exit market | Exit market |
Characteristics | Perfect competition | Monopolistic market | Oligopoly | Monopoly |
---|---|---|---|---|
Number of sellers | Many firms | Many firms | Few firms | Few firms |
Entry and exit barriers | Very low | Low | High | Very high |
Product differentiation | Identical products | Substitutes but differentiated (via advertising) | Close substitutes or differentiated via features, quality, advertising | Unique products, no close substitutes |
Pricing power | None. Price-taker | Some | Some to considerable | Considerable (price discrimination) |
Other features | Each firm faces a perfectly elastic demand curve (horizontal). All firms make normal profits in the long run. | Each firm faces a downward sloping demand curve. All firms make normal profits in the long run. | Each firm faces a downward sloping demand curve. Price collusion is possible: kinked demand curve, Cournot assumptions, Nash equilibrium, Stackelberg model | Firm faces downward sloping industry demand curve. Can make economic profits in the long run if unregulated. |
Expenditure approach:
GDP = C + I + G + (X – M)
Income approach:
GDP = Net domestic income + Consumption of fixed capital + Statistical discrepancy
(G – T) = (S – I) – (X – M)
where (G – T) = fiscal balance, (S – I) = savings less domestic investments, (X – M) = trade balance.
To finance a fiscal deficit (G – T > 0), the private sector must save more than it invests (S > I) and/or imports (M) should exceed exports (X), i.e. M – X > 0
To assess the change in AD, use the equation C + I + G + (X – M)
An increase in | Shifts the AD curve | Rationale |
---|---|---|
Stock prices | Right | Leads to higher consumption (C) |
House price | Right | Leads to higher consumption (C) |
Consumer confidence | Right | Leads to higher consumption (C) |
Business confidence | Right | Leads to higher investment (I) |
Capacity utilization | Right | If companies are operating at near or full capacity, this leads to higher investment (I) |
Government spending (G) | Right | Government spending is a component of AD |
Taxes (T) | Left | Lowers consumption (C) and investment (I) |
Bank reserves | Right | Increased money supply leads to lower interest rate, hence higher investment (I) and potentially consumer spending (C) |
Exchange rates (foreign currency per domestic currency) | Left | Domestic currency appreciation leads to less exports (X), more imports (I), i.e. a decrease in net exports, a component of AD. |
Global economic growth | Right | Higher exports (X) |
An increase in | Shifts short run AS | Shifts long run AS | Rationale |
---|---|---|---|
Supply of labor | Right | Right | Increase in resources |
Supply of natural resources | Right | Right | Increase in resources |
Supply of human capital | Right | Right | Increase in resources |
Supply of physical capital | Right | Right | Increase in resources |
Productivity and technology | Right | Right | Improves input efficiency |
Nominal wages | Left | No impact | Increases cost of production |
Input prices (e.g. energy) | Left | No impact | Increases cost of production |
Expectation of future prices | Right | No impact | Anticipation of higher profitability in the future |
Business taxes | Left | No impact | Increases cost of production |
Subsidy | Right | No impact | Reduces cost of production |
Exchange rate (foreign currency per unit of domestic currency) | Right | No impact | Reduces cost of production |
Change in AS | Change in AD | Effect on real GDP | Effect on aggregate price level |
---|---|---|---|
– | Increase | Increase. Decreases unemployment | Increase |
– | Decrease | Decrease. Increases unemployment | Decrease |
Increase | – | Increase. Decreases unemployment | Decrease |
Decrease | – | Decrease. Increases unemployment | Increase |
Increase | Increase | Increase | Uncertain |
Decrease | Decrease | Decrease | Uncertain |
Increase | Decrease | Uncertain | Decrease |
Decrease | Increase | Uncertain | Increase |
Theories | Brief description | Recommended policies |
---|---|---|
Neo-classical | Free market, the ‘invisible hand’. | Do nothing, let it be. |
Austrian | Similar to neo-classical. It is government intervention that is causing fluctuations. | Do nothing, let it be. |
Keynesian | Advocates government intervention during a recession, as the economy doesn’t automatically correct itself in the short run. Focus on AD curve. | Use fiscal and monetary policy as necessary to increase AD. |
Monetarist | Monetary policy | Maintain steady money supply growth. |
New classical | Applies microeconomic analysis to macroeconomics. Business cycles have real causes, no government intervention needed. | Do nothing, let it be. |
MV = PY, where M = quantity of money, V = velocity of money circulation, P = price level, Y = real output.
Rnom = Rreal + πe
where Rnom= nominal interest rate, Rreal= real interest rate, πe= expected inflation rate
Tools to implement monetary policy:
Required \space reserves \space ratio = \frac{Required \space reserves}{Total \space deposits}
Money \space multiplier=\frac{1}{Reserves \space requirement}
Contractionary vs. expansionary monetary policy:
Limitations of monetary policy:
Contractionary vs. expansionary fiscal policy:
Fiscal policy spending vs revenue tools:
Fiscal spending tools | Fiscal revenue tools |
---|---|
Transfer payments: redistribution of wealth, e.g. via welfare payments, unemployment benefits etc. | Direct taxes: Taxes on income (e.g. wealth, income, property, inheritance, capital gains, corporation profits etc) |
Current government spending: spending on goods and services e.g. education, defence, healthcare etc. | Indirect taxes: Taxes on goods and services (e.g. sales tax, excise duties) |
Capital expenditure: Infrastructure spending e.g. roads, hospitals, schools etc. |
Limitations to fiscal policy: recognition lag, action lag and impact lag.
Fiscal \space multiplier=\frac{1}{1-MPC(1-t)}
where MPC = marginal propensity to consume, t = taxes
There are generally 4 types of country behavior:
Autarky | Hegemony | Bilateralism | Multilateralism |
---|---|---|---|
Seek self sufficiency, little or no external trade or finance | Can be regional or global leaders | Two countries cooperating on political, financial, economic or cultural aspects | Rule harmonization and engage in mutually beneficial trade agreements |
State-owned strategic domestic industries | Exercise political and/or economic dominance over others to control resources | Countries that engage in bilateralism can still have one-at-a-time agreements with other nations. | Allows a country to access resources and markets globally |
Self sufficiency allows complete control over flow of product, services and technology. | Hegemons may become more competitive if influence dwindles, increasing geopolitical risk | Regionalism is somewhere in between bilateralism and multilateralism, whereby a group of countries work with one another whilst raising barriers to others outside the group. | However, dependent on international cooperation for economic growth |
E.g. China in 20th century, North Korea | E.g. USA, Russia | E.g. Japan (used to be, currently multilateral) | E.g. Singapore |
Types of geopolitical risk:
To assess geopolitical risk, an investor should consider:
Ricardian model | Heckscher-Ohlin (HO) model |
---|---|
Countries without absolute advantages can still benefit from trade from comparative advantages. | Countries’ comparative advantages are based on relative scarcity of resources. |
Labor is the only variable factor of production. | Capital and labor are the variable factors of production. |
Differences in technology is the key source of comparative advantage. | HO model assumes the technology in each industry is the same for each country. Differences in factor endowments is the key source of comparative advantage. |
Types | Description |
---|---|
Free trade area (FTA) | No barriers to flow of goods and services amongst members |
Customs union (CU) | FTA + common trade policy amongst non-members |
Common market (CM) | CU + free movement of factors of production amongst members |
Economic union (EU) | CM + common economic institution and coordination of economic policies |
Monetary union (MU) | EU + common currency |
Current Account (CA) = X – M = Y – (C + I + G)
It’s important to know that the exchange rate notation in CFA curriculum is different, and opposite to the real world – don’t ask me why!
In the real world, EUR/GBP of 1.15 means EUR 1 = GBP 1.15.
However, in the CFA curriculum, EUR/GBP of 1.15 means EUR 1.15 per GBP 1. This is the opposite notation in the real world, so be mindful if you see real world exchange rate example questions.
It’s a key source of mistake for CFA candidates, and there are lots of foreign exchange questions throughout all 3 levels. Do make sure you get it right!
P.S. – For the purposes of the CFA curriculum, you should also be familiar with the convention of EUR:GBP = 1.15, which means GBP 1.15 = EUR 1, i.e. equals GBP/EUR = 1.15.
Real \space exchange \space rate_{d/f}=Nominal \space exchange \space rate_{d/f} \times \frac{CPI_f}{CPI_d}
where d = domestic currency, f = foreign currency, CPI = consumer price index
Forward \space exchange \space rate_{f/d}= Spot \space exchange \space rate_{f/d} \times \frac{1+r_f}{1+r_d}
where rd = risk-free rate of domestic currency, rf = risk-free rate of foreign currency
Types of exchange rate regimes | Description |
---|---|
Formal dollarization | Don’t have own currency. Adopts another country’s currency. |
Monetary union | Several countries adopt the same currency, e.g. European Union. |
Currency board system | Commitment to exchange domestic currency for a specified foreign currency at a fixed exchange rate. |
Fixed parity / fixed peg | A country pegs its own currency with a foreign currency (or a basket of currencies) within a +/- 1% margin. |
Target zone | Similar to fixed parity, but with a wider margin (+/- 2%). |
Crawling peg | Exchange rate is pegged but adjusted periodically. |
Crawling bands | Gradually increasing the margins of the fixed peg bands to transition from fixed peg to floating rate. |
Managed float | Monetary authority intervenes to manage exchange rate without any specific target level. |
Independently floating | Market-driven exchange rate. |
To those of you who have taken economics courses in school, you may feel like you’ve done all this before.
Don’t be tempted to simply skip the whole thing. You may be surprised by how much you’ve forgotten, or concepts you’ve not previously fully understood that the CFA exam covers in more detail.
You may hear this a lot, but understanding (not memorizing) the core concepts behind this topic area is really important.
Economics is voluminous partly because there are numerous concepts to be explained, rather than, say, mathematical formulae to be memorized.
As it is very text-heavy, when studying Economics, you may find your mind ‘blanking out’, where you’re reading but not really comprehending. You need to break that cycle to quickly move on.
There are 3 good ways to speed up your comprehension:
Economics has a lot of content for a topic area that’s 8-12% of the exam.
If you find that Economics is slowing your pace down, it might be more effort-efficient to focus on topic areas such as FRA, Fixed Income and Equity Investments. Check out our recommended CFA Level 1 best topic study order here.
Discussions with your colleagues, friends and mentors (or in our Forum) can greatly help your understanding of Economics.
Whenever you have an opportunity, discuss relevant current events and the underlying economics, clarifying and asking questions where you can. Explain that you’re a CFA candidate if you have to!
Learned about exchange rates? Discuss how Brexit impacted the British Pound, and how that drop would influence the UK economy in various sectors. Speculate on options that the government can take to steady the economy.
In the process of this discussion, you’ll solidify your comprehension of your Economics material, and also increase your knowledge on current events. Win win!
More Cheat Sheet articles will be published and continuously updated. Get ahead of other CFA candidates by signing up to our member’s list to get notified.
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View Comments
Hello! Is there any way to receive all of these guides in one PDF? I would love to print them off before my test next week.
Hi Joe! Really sorry about this as we don't produce these in PDF as we constantly update and improve them for the latest version. A suggestion is open the tab with these notes, and disconnect the internet to avoid distraction when studying.
Oh thank you guys. Thank you very much and may God bless you.
Hi, this is really helpful thanks. Using these in my last days of revision! I think there may be an error on the forward exchange rate. I think it is forward rate = spot rate x (1 + foreign (price) currency / 1 + domestic (base) currency). Whereas you have put the domestic currency as the numerator.
Hi Maisie! Looks like you're doing your revision really thoroughly and well :) Corrected, thank you! Best of luck by the way!
Hi! First of all, a big thanks for all the much needed and useful content and support!
I'm struggling with this sentence: " If reserve requirement is low, the money multiplier (reciprocal of reserve requirement) goes up and money supply decreases.", shouldn't the money supply increase as the money multiplier goes up? Thanks again!!
Hi soleturnes, thank you for spotting my mistake, apologies for that!
You are absolutely right that reserve requirement is low, the money supply increases, along with the money multiplier :)
Thanks heap for the efforts, Zee. It helps in my review of topics.
No problem! If you have any questions during your review, just post a question in our support forum and one of us will answer it.
Thank you very much, Zee. I am just loving these cheat sheets. Looking forward to seeing cheat sheets for the rest of the L1 subjects. I have bookmarked them and review them every day before going to sleep. Thanks for your efforts!
That's a big praise, thank you :) It's great that you found them helpful, and yes, spaced repetition and constant reviewing is key!